{ "schema_version": "1.0.0", "catalog_id": "iran-investment-opportunities-v1", "generated_at": "2026-08-29", "geography": { "iso3": "IRN", "m49": "364", "scope": "Iran national" }, "purpose": "Evidence-bound screening catalog. It identifies questions for pre-feasibility work; it is not an investment recommendation, feasibility study, valuation, forecast or claim of bankability.", "methodology": { "value_types": [ "OBSERVED", "INFERENCE", "JUDGMENT", "DATA_GAP" ], "ranking_policy": "BLOCKED unless candidates share comparable observed inputs for the same period, unit, scope and definition.", "territory_policy": "National only because the frozen inputs contain no project-grade subnational observations.", "source_policy": "Every observed datum is copied from an immutable ingested record; inference and judgment are separately labeled.", "investor_policy": "No investor names are included because no investor-specific evidence package is in scope." }, "source_inputs": [ { "path": "data/curated/iran-trade-agri-energy/iran-trade-agri-energy.v1.json", "sha256": "52916911b057c1b984b8be52a3d27c52fc8a26ed41330690d6b56f4ec18d33b6" }, { "path": "data/curated/iran-unsd-national-accounts/snapshot-2026-08-29.json", "sha256": "82f4e3e6524e3dfc3414f05c616aba0c8b9c71ee57c17e091548599e46036eec" }, { "path": "data/curated/iran-wpp-ilo/iran-wpp-ilo.v1.json", "sha256": "2a086590c723c4b3c87e4513e744247bca1565abcafc98ce41614d65f1d9986b" }, { "path": "data/curated/sector-catalog.v1.json", "sha256": "658bb65cb144e33182726d91a3c6b74fe4d90d0335526f7da1f152019d1d663e" } ], "classification_note": "Official ISIC metadata source unsd-isic-rev4; CPC/HS mappings are screening tags and not a many-to-many concordance.", "catalog_status": "PREFEASIBILITY_CANDIDATES_UNRANKED", "concepts": [ { "concept_id": "IRN-VC-AGR-FRUIT-COLDCHAIN-01", "title_fa": "زنجیره سرد، درجه‌بندی و فرآوری میوه", "title_en": "Fruit cold-chain, grading and processing network", "classification": { "isic_rev4": [ "A", "C", "H" ], "hs2022": [ "08" ], "cpc21": [ "01341", "01330" ] }, "value_chain": { "nodes": [ { "kind": "JUDGMENT", "label": "farm aggregation" }, { "kind": "JUDGMENT", "label": "pre-cooling and grading" }, { "kind": "JUDGMENT", "label": "cold storage" }, { "kind": "JUDGMENT", "label": "processing and packaging" }, { "kind": "JUDGMENT", "label": "domestic/export logistics" } ], "flows": [ { "kind": "JUDGMENT", "flow": "fresh fruit and processed products; electricity, packaging, finance and market information as enabling flows" } ], "suspected_missing_links": [ { "kind": "INFERENCE", "status": "HYPOTHESIS_NOT_VERIFIED", "hypothesis": "traceable aggregation, loss measurement, packhouse utilization and cold-chain service coverage require field verification" } ] }, "evidence_refs": [ { "evidence_id": "agriculture:fao-faostat-qcl|364|2024|QCL:515:5510", "kind": "OBSERVED", "source_dataset_id": "iran-trade-agri-energy", "source_id": "fao-faostat-qcl", "record_id": "fao-faostat-qcl|364|2024|QCL:515:5510", "indicator_code": "QCL:515:5510", "indicator_name": "Production — Apples", "classification_system": "FAOSTAT-QCL", "classification_version": "FAOSTAT QCL release 2025-12-23", "source_codes": { "isic_rev4": [], "hs2022": [], "cpc21": [ "01341" ] }, "geography": "Iran national", "period": "2024", "unit": "t", "value": 2346928.78, "status": "OBSERVED", "canonical_url": "https://www.fao.org/faostat/en/#data/QCL", "source_url": "https://bulks-faostat.fao.org/production/Production_Crops_Livestock_E_Asia.zip", "retrieved_at": "2026-08-29T02:13:57.670Z", "source_payload_sha256": "069fdc0f317a93daa11b20edd3abe45237d800ecf644554f6bfba31dd93fbc3c", "caveat": "FAOSTAT source flag I; CPC 01341." }, { "evidence_id": "agriculture:fao-faostat-qcl|364|2024|QCL:560:5510", "kind": "OBSERVED", "source_dataset_id": "iran-trade-agri-energy", "source_id": "fao-faostat-qcl", "record_id": "fao-faostat-qcl|364|2024|QCL:560:5510", "indicator_code": "QCL:560:5510", "indicator_name": "Production — Grapes", "classification_system": "FAOSTAT-QCL", "classification_version": "FAOSTAT QCL release 2025-12-23", "source_codes": { "isic_rev4": [], "hs2022": [], "cpc21": [ "01330" ] }, "geography": "Iran national", "period": "2024", "unit": "t", "value": 1566663.4, "status": "OBSERVED", "canonical_url": "https://www.fao.org/faostat/en/#data/QCL", "source_url": "https://bulks-faostat.fao.org/production/Production_Crops_Livestock_E_Asia.zip", "retrieved_at": "2026-08-29T02:13:57.670Z", "source_payload_sha256": "069fdc0f317a93daa11b20edd3abe45237d800ecf644554f6bfba31dd93fbc3c", "caveat": "FAOSTAT source flag I; CPC 01330." }, { "evidence_id": "trade:un-comtrade|H6|364|2022|X|08|primaryValue", "kind": "OBSERVED", "source_dataset_id": "iran-trade-agri-energy", "source_id": "un-comtrade", "record_id": "un-comtrade|H6|364|2022|X|08|primaryValue", "indicator_code": "TRADE_VALUE_X_08", "indicator_name": "Merchandise exports — Fruit and nuts, edible; peel of citrus fruit or melons", "classification_system": "HS", "classification_version": "HS 2022 (UN Comtrade H6)", "source_codes": { "isic_rev4": [], "hs2022": [ "08" ], "cpc21": [] }, "geography": "Iran national", "period": "2022", "unit": "current USD", "value": 1793208444, "status": "OBSERVED", "canonical_url": "https://comtradeplus.un.org/", "source_url": "https://comtradeapi.un.org/public/v1/preview/C/A/HS?reporterCode=364&period=2022&cmdCode=AG2&flowCode=X%2CM&partnerCode=0&partner2Code=0&customsCode=C00&motCode=0&maxRecords=500&typeCode=C&freqCode=A&clCode=HS", "retrieved_at": "2026-08-29T02:13:57.670Z", "source_payload_sha256": "b7febd8cf834760117568eb66599f38f68ca36386b1479c4437712f79ad9c7ff", "caveat": "UN Comtrade preview aggregate; source flag is_reported=false. Use as an observed API value, not as reporter-verified customs evidence." } ], "rationale": [ { "kind": "INFERENCE", "statement": "Observed national production and an observed HS08 export flow justify screening coordinated post-harvest infrastructure, but do not establish unmet demand or profitability.", "supported_by": [ "agriculture:fao-faostat-qcl|364|2024|QCL:515:5510", "agriculture:fao-faostat-qcl|364|2024|QCL:560:5510", "trade:un-comtrade|H6|364|2022|X|08|primaryValue" ] } ], "data_gaps": [ { "status": "DATA_GAP", "gap": "province and crop loss rates" }, { "status": "DATA_GAP", "gap": "cold-store and packhouse inventory/utilization" }, { "status": "DATA_GAP", "gap": "quality grades and destination-level demand" }, { "status": "DATA_GAP", "gap": "water footprint and seasonality" }, { "status": "DATA_GAP", "gap": "capex, opex, tariffs and working capital" } ], "required_feasibility_inputs": [ "site-level throughput", "farm catchment and seasonality", "power reliability and energy cost", "offtake contracts and price spreads", "food safety and export certification", "environmental and social screening" ], "financing_options": [ { "kind": "JUDGMENT", "option": "sponsor equity plus equipment debt", "condition": "Only after project-specific demand, tariff, legal, environmental, technical, cash-flow and risk due diligence." }, { "kind": "JUDGMENT", "option": "warehouse or project-finance structure backed by contracted throughput", "condition": "Only after project-specific demand, tariff, legal, environmental, technical, cash-flow and risk due diligence." }, { "kind": "JUDGMENT", "option": "PPP only where a public logistics asset and transparent risk allocation are demonstrated", "condition": "Only after project-specific demand, tariff, legal, environmental, technical, cash-flow and risk due diligence." } ], "territory": { "scope": "Iran national", "evidence_status": "NO_SUBNATIONAL_EVIDENCE_IN_FROZEN_INPUTS" }, "maturity": "CONCEPT_ONLY_PREFEASIBILITY_REQUIRED", "bankability_status": "NOT_ASSESSED", "ranking": { "status": "BLOCKED", "score": null, "reason": "Candidate evidence has non-comparable periods, units, classifications and coverage; no common observed-input scoring basis exists." } }, { "concept_id": "IRN-VC-AGR-VEG-PROCESS-02", "title_fa": "هاب فرآوری، خشک‌کردن و لجستیک سبزیجات", "title_en": "Vegetable processing, drying and logistics hub", "classification": { "isic_rev4": [ "A", "C", "H" ], "hs2022": [ "07" ], "cpc21": [ "01234", "01253.02" ] }, "value_chain": { "nodes": [ { "kind": "JUDGMENT", "label": "grower aggregation" }, { "kind": "JUDGMENT", "label": "sorting and primary handling" }, { "kind": "JUDGMENT", "label": "drying/freezing/canning" }, { "kind": "JUDGMENT", "label": "packaging" }, { "kind": "JUDGMENT", "label": "distribution and export" } ], "flows": [ { "kind": "JUDGMENT", "flow": "tomatoes and onions into fresh and processed channels, with water, energy, packaging and quality information" } ], "suspected_missing_links": [ { "kind": "INFERENCE", "status": "HYPOTHESIS_NOT_VERIFIED", "hypothesis": "processing yield, rejection, spoilage and logistics bottlenecks are not measured in the frozen national datasets" } ] }, "evidence_refs": [ { "evidence_id": "agriculture:fao-faostat-qcl|364|2024|QCL:388:5510", "kind": "OBSERVED", "source_dataset_id": "iran-trade-agri-energy", "source_id": "fao-faostat-qcl", "record_id": "fao-faostat-qcl|364|2024|QCL:388:5510", "indicator_code": "QCL:388:5510", "indicator_name": "Production — Tomatoes", "classification_system": "FAOSTAT-QCL", "classification_version": "FAOSTAT QCL release 2025-12-23", "source_codes": { "isic_rev4": [], "hs2022": [], "cpc21": [ "01234" ] }, "geography": "Iran national", "period": "2024", "unit": "t", "value": 3230946.21, "status": "OBSERVED", "canonical_url": "https://www.fao.org/faostat/en/#data/QCL", "source_url": "https://bulks-faostat.fao.org/production/Production_Crops_Livestock_E_Asia.zip", "retrieved_at": "2026-08-29T02:13:57.670Z", "source_payload_sha256": "069fdc0f317a93daa11b20edd3abe45237d800ecf644554f6bfba31dd93fbc3c", "caveat": "FAOSTAT source flag I; CPC 01234." }, { "evidence_id": "agriculture:fao-faostat-qcl|364|2024|QCL:403:5510", "kind": "OBSERVED", "source_dataset_id": "iran-trade-agri-energy", "source_id": "fao-faostat-qcl", "record_id": "fao-faostat-qcl|364|2024|QCL:403:5510", "indicator_code": "QCL:403:5510", "indicator_name": "Production — Onions and shallots, dry (excluding dehydrated)", "classification_system": "FAOSTAT-QCL", "classification_version": "FAOSTAT QCL release 2025-12-23", "source_codes": { "isic_rev4": [], "hs2022": [], "cpc21": [ "01253.02" ] }, "geography": "Iran national", "period": "2024", "unit": "t", "value": 2162900.48, "status": "OBSERVED", "canonical_url": "https://www.fao.org/faostat/en/#data/QCL", "source_url": "https://bulks-faostat.fao.org/production/Production_Crops_Livestock_E_Asia.zip", "retrieved_at": "2026-08-29T02:13:57.670Z", "source_payload_sha256": "069fdc0f317a93daa11b20edd3abe45237d800ecf644554f6bfba31dd93fbc3c", "caveat": "FAOSTAT source flag I; CPC 01253.02." }, { "evidence_id": "trade:un-comtrade|H6|364|2022|X|07|primaryValue", "kind": "OBSERVED", "source_dataset_id": "iran-trade-agri-energy", "source_id": "un-comtrade", "record_id": "un-comtrade|H6|364|2022|X|07|primaryValue", "indicator_code": "TRADE_VALUE_X_07", "indicator_name": "Merchandise exports — Vegetables and certain roots and tubers; edible", "classification_system": "HS", "classification_version": "HS 2022 (UN Comtrade H6)", "source_codes": { "isic_rev4": [], "hs2022": [ "07" ], "cpc21": [] }, "geography": "Iran national", "period": "2022", "unit": "current USD", "value": 799864726, "status": "OBSERVED", "canonical_url": "https://comtradeplus.un.org/", "source_url": "https://comtradeapi.un.org/public/v1/preview/C/A/HS?reporterCode=364&period=2022&cmdCode=AG2&flowCode=X%2CM&partnerCode=0&partner2Code=0&customsCode=C00&motCode=0&maxRecords=500&typeCode=C&freqCode=A&clCode=HS", "retrieved_at": "2026-08-29T02:13:57.670Z", "source_payload_sha256": "b7febd8cf834760117568eb66599f38f68ca36386b1479c4437712f79ad9c7ff", "caveat": "UN Comtrade preview aggregate; source flag is_reported=false. Use as an observed API value, not as reporter-verified customs evidence." } ], "rationale": [ { "kind": "INFERENCE", "statement": "Observed crop production and HS07 exports support pre-feasibility screening of handling and processing capacity; they do not prove a capacity gap.", "supported_by": [ "agriculture:fao-faostat-qcl|364|2024|QCL:388:5510", "agriculture:fao-faostat-qcl|364|2024|QCL:403:5510", "trade:un-comtrade|H6|364|2022|X|07|primaryValue" ] } ], "data_gaps": [ { "status": "DATA_GAP", "gap": "subnational crop calendars" }, { "status": "DATA_GAP", "gap": "processing capacity and utilization" }, { "status": "DATA_GAP", "gap": "post-harvest loss rates" }, { "status": "DATA_GAP", "gap": "product-level export prices and destinations" }, { "status": "DATA_GAP", "gap": "water and wastewater constraints" } ], "required_feasibility_inputs": [ "site and feedstock radius", "product mix and conversion yields", "offtake specification", "utility and effluent design", "capex/opex quotations", "food safety approvals" ], "financing_options": [ { "kind": "JUDGMENT", "option": "producer/processor equity", "condition": "Only after project-specific demand, tariff, legal, environmental, technical, cash-flow and risk due diligence." }, { "kind": "JUDGMENT", "option": "asset-backed equipment finance", "condition": "Only after project-specific demand, tariff, legal, environmental, technical, cash-flow and risk due diligence." }, { "kind": "JUDGMENT", "option": "working-capital facility after contracted procurement and sales are evidenced", "condition": "Only after project-specific demand, tariff, legal, environmental, technical, cash-flow and risk due diligence." } ], "territory": { "scope": "Iran national", "evidence_status": "NO_SUBNATIONAL_EVIDENCE_IN_FROZEN_INPUTS" }, "maturity": "CONCEPT_ONLY_PREFEASIBILITY_REQUIRED", "bankability_status": "NOT_ASSESSED", "ranking": { "status": "BLOCKED", "score": null, "reason": "Candidate evidence has non-comparable periods, units, classifications and coverage; no common observed-input scoring basis exists." } }, { "concept_id": "IRN-VC-AGR-GRAIN-RESILIENCE-03", "title_fa": "شبکه بهره‌وری، ذخیره‌سازی و کاهش ضایعات غلات و دانه‌های روغنی", "title_en": "Grain and oilseed productivity, storage and loss-reduction network", "classification": { "isic_rev4": [ "A", "C", "H" ], "hs2022": [ "10", "12" ], "cpc21": [ "0111" ] }, "value_chain": { "nodes": [ { "kind": "JUDGMENT", "label": "seed and farm services" }, { "kind": "JUDGMENT", "label": "production" }, { "kind": "JUDGMENT", "label": "drying and silos" }, { "kind": "JUDGMENT", "label": "milling/crushing" }, { "kind": "JUDGMENT", "label": "distribution" } ], "flows": [ { "kind": "JUDGMENT", "flow": "grain and oilseed physical flows plus storage receipts, quality tests and inventory finance" } ], "suspected_missing_links": [ { "kind": "INFERENCE", "status": "HYPOTHESIS_NOT_VERIFIED", "hypothesis": "import substitution is not assumed; agronomy, water, quality and total-cost competitiveness must be established" } ] }, "evidence_refs": [ { "evidence_id": "agriculture:fao-faostat-qcl|364|2024|QCL:15:5510", "kind": "OBSERVED", "source_dataset_id": "iran-trade-agri-energy", "source_id": "fao-faostat-qcl", "record_id": "fao-faostat-qcl|364|2024|QCL:15:5510", "indicator_code": "QCL:15:5510", "indicator_name": "Production — Wheat", "classification_system": "FAOSTAT-QCL", "classification_version": "FAOSTAT QCL release 2025-12-23", "source_codes": { "isic_rev4": [], "hs2022": [], "cpc21": [ "0111" ] }, "geography": "Iran national", "period": "2024", "unit": "t", "value": 16750000, "status": "OBSERVED", "canonical_url": "https://www.fao.org/faostat/en/#data/QCL", "source_url": "https://bulks-faostat.fao.org/production/Production_Crops_Livestock_E_Asia.zip", "retrieved_at": "2026-08-29T02:13:57.670Z", "source_payload_sha256": "069fdc0f317a93daa11b20edd3abe45237d800ecf644554f6bfba31dd93fbc3c", "caveat": "FAOSTAT source flag X; CPC 0111." }, { "evidence_id": "trade:un-comtrade|H6|364|2022|M|10|primaryValue", "kind": "OBSERVED", "source_dataset_id": "iran-trade-agri-energy", "source_id": "un-comtrade", "record_id": "un-comtrade|H6|364|2022|M|10|primaryValue", "indicator_code": "TRADE_VALUE_M_10", "indicator_name": "Merchandise imports — Cereals", "classification_system": "HS", "classification_version": "HS 2022 (UN Comtrade H6)", "source_codes": { "isic_rev4": [], "hs2022": [ "10" ], "cpc21": [] }, "geography": "Iran national", "period": "2022", "unit": "current USD", "value": 8486813906, "status": "OBSERVED", "canonical_url": "https://comtradeplus.un.org/", "source_url": "https://comtradeapi.un.org/public/v1/preview/C/A/HS?reporterCode=364&period=2022&cmdCode=AG2&flowCode=X%2CM&partnerCode=0&partner2Code=0&customsCode=C00&motCode=0&maxRecords=500&typeCode=C&freqCode=A&clCode=HS", "retrieved_at": "2026-08-29T02:13:57.670Z", "source_payload_sha256": "b7febd8cf834760117568eb66599f38f68ca36386b1479c4437712f79ad9c7ff", "caveat": "UN Comtrade preview aggregate; source flag is_reported=false. Use as an observed API value, not as reporter-verified customs evidence." }, { "evidence_id": "trade:un-comtrade|H6|364|2022|M|12|primaryValue", "kind": "OBSERVED", "source_dataset_id": "iran-trade-agri-energy", "source_id": "un-comtrade", "record_id": "un-comtrade|H6|364|2022|M|12|primaryValue", "indicator_code": "TRADE_VALUE_M_12", "indicator_name": "Merchandise imports — Oil seeds and oleaginous fruits; miscellaneous grains, seeds and fruit, industrial or medicinal plants; straw and fodder", "classification_system": "HS", "classification_version": "HS 2022 (UN Comtrade H6)", "source_codes": { "isic_rev4": [], "hs2022": [ "12" ], "cpc21": [] }, "geography": "Iran national", "period": "2022", "unit": "current USD", "value": 2108889632, "status": "OBSERVED", "canonical_url": "https://comtradeplus.un.org/", "source_url": "https://comtradeapi.un.org/public/v1/preview/C/A/HS?reporterCode=364&period=2022&cmdCode=AG2&flowCode=X%2CM&partnerCode=0&partner2Code=0&customsCode=C00&motCode=0&maxRecords=500&typeCode=C&freqCode=A&clCode=HS", "retrieved_at": "2026-08-29T02:13:57.670Z", "source_payload_sha256": "b7febd8cf834760117568eb66599f38f68ca36386b1479c4437712f79ad9c7ff", "caveat": "UN Comtrade preview aggregate; source flag is_reported=false. Use as an observed API value, not as reporter-verified customs evidence." } ], "rationale": [ { "kind": "INFERENCE", "statement": "Observed wheat production together with HS10 and HS12 imports identifies a supply-system question worth screening, not a finding that domestic production should replace imports.", "supported_by": [ "agriculture:fao-faostat-qcl|364|2024|QCL:15:5510", "trade:un-comtrade|H6|364|2022|M|10|primaryValue", "trade:un-comtrade|H6|364|2022|M|12|primaryValue" ] } ], "data_gaps": [ { "status": "DATA_GAP", "gap": "crop-specific import quantities and prices below HS2" }, { "status": "DATA_GAP", "gap": "strategic stock and silo utilization" }, { "status": "DATA_GAP", "gap": "water productivity" }, { "status": "DATA_GAP", "gap": "farmgate-to-import parity" }, { "status": "DATA_GAP", "gap": "quality and loss measurements" } ], "required_feasibility_inputs": [ "commodity-specific balance sheet", "climate and water constraints", "storage loss baseline", "location and transport model", "inventory policy", "economic cost-benefit test including resource opportunity cost" ], "financing_options": [ { "kind": "JUDGMENT", "option": "commercial storage operator equity/debt", "condition": "Only after project-specific demand, tariff, legal, environmental, technical, cash-flow and risk due diligence." }, { "kind": "JUDGMENT", "option": "inventory finance with independently verified warehouse receipts", "condition": "Only after project-specific demand, tariff, legal, environmental, technical, cash-flow and risk due diligence." }, { "kind": "JUDGMENT", "option": "public procurement or availability-payment structure only after fiscal and competition review", "condition": "Only after project-specific demand, tariff, legal, environmental, technical, cash-flow and risk due diligence." } ], "territory": { "scope": "Iran national", "evidence_status": "NO_SUBNATIONAL_EVIDENCE_IN_FROZEN_INPUTS" }, "maturity": "CONCEPT_ONLY_PREFEASIBILITY_REQUIRED", "bankability_status": "NOT_ASSESSED", "ranking": { "status": "BLOCKED", "score": null, "reason": "Candidate evidence has non-comparable periods, units, classifications and coverage; no common observed-input scoring basis exists." } }, { "concept_id": "IRN-VC-MIN-METALS-DOWNSTREAM-04", "title_fa": "فرآوری معدنی و محصولات پایین‌دستی فلزی", "title_en": "Mineral beneficiation and downstream metal products", "classification": { "isic_rev4": [ "B", "C" ], "hs2022": [ "26", "72", "74", "76" ], "cpc21": [] }, "value_chain": { "nodes": [ { "kind": "JUDGMENT", "label": "exploration and extraction" }, { "kind": "JUDGMENT", "label": "beneficiation" }, { "kind": "JUDGMENT", "label": "smelting/refining" }, { "kind": "JUDGMENT", "label": "fabrication" }, { "kind": "JUDGMENT", "label": "industrial/export customers" } ], "flows": [ { "kind": "JUDGMENT", "flow": "ore, concentrates, metals, energy, water, transport capacity and technical information" } ], "suspected_missing_links": [ { "kind": "INFERENCE", "status": "HYPOTHESIS_NOT_VERIFIED", "hypothesis": "the HS2 and national-account observations cannot identify product-level value leakage or viable downstream plants" } ] }, "evidence_refs": [ { "evidence_id": "national-accounts:UNSD-SNA-2.5|row-7|IRN|2023|B|1000", "kind": "OBSERVED", "source_dataset_id": "iran-unsd-national-accounts-isic-rev4", "source_id": "unsd-undata-sna-205-iran", "record_id": "UNSD-SNA-2.5|row-7|IRN|2023|B|1000", "indicator_code": "ISIC4-B-VA-CONSTANT", "indicator_name": "Mining and quarrying value added at constant prices", "classification_system": "ISIC", "classification_version": "Rev.4", "source_codes": { "isic_rev4": [ "B" ], "hs2022": [], "cpc21": [] }, "geography": "Iran national", "period": "2023", "unit": "Iranian rial; constant prices; base year 2016", "value": 1631970162289830, "status": "UNSD_OFFICIAL_COUNTRY_DATA", "canonical_url": "https://data.un.org/Data.aspx?d=SNA&f=group_code%3A205%3Bcountry_code%3A364&q=iran", "source_url": "https://data.un.org/Handlers/DownloadHandler.ashx?DataFilter=group_code%3A205%3Bcountry_code%3A364&DataMartId=SNA&Format=csv", "retrieved_at": "2026-08-29", "source_payload_sha256": "3a71f3f790c7c874e1ea42ecbc5519283bc4f8443f6f53076360a2061696ae6e", "caveat": "Iranian rial; fiscal year beginning 21 March; source-specific UNSD series not merged with WDI." }, { "evidence_id": "national-accounts:UNSD-SNA-2.5|row-8|IRN|2023|C|1000", "kind": "OBSERVED", "source_dataset_id": "iran-unsd-national-accounts-isic-rev4", "source_id": "unsd-undata-sna-205-iran", "record_id": "UNSD-SNA-2.5|row-8|IRN|2023|C|1000", "indicator_code": "ISIC4-C-VA-CONSTANT", "indicator_name": "Manufacturing value added at constant prices", "classification_system": "ISIC", "classification_version": "Rev.4", "source_codes": { "isic_rev4": [ "C" ], "hs2022": [], "cpc21": [] }, "geography": "Iran national", "period": "2023", "unit": "Iranian rial; constant prices; base year 2016", "value": 2446303529075070, "status": "UNSD_OFFICIAL_COUNTRY_DATA", "canonical_url": "https://data.un.org/Data.aspx?d=SNA&f=group_code%3A205%3Bcountry_code%3A364&q=iran", "source_url": "https://data.un.org/Handlers/DownloadHandler.ashx?DataFilter=group_code%3A205%3Bcountry_code%3A364&DataMartId=SNA&Format=csv", "retrieved_at": "2026-08-29", "source_payload_sha256": "3a71f3f790c7c874e1ea42ecbc5519283bc4f8443f6f53076360a2061696ae6e", "caveat": "Iranian rial; fiscal year beginning 21 March; source-specific UNSD series not merged with WDI." }, { "evidence_id": "trade:un-comtrade|H6|364|2022|X|26|primaryValue", "kind": "OBSERVED", "source_dataset_id": "iran-trade-agri-energy", "source_id": "un-comtrade", "record_id": "un-comtrade|H6|364|2022|X|26|primaryValue", "indicator_code": "TRADE_VALUE_X_26", "indicator_name": "Merchandise exports — Ores, slag and ash", "classification_system": "HS", "classification_version": "HS 2022 (UN Comtrade H6)", "source_codes": { "isic_rev4": [], "hs2022": [ "26" ], "cpc21": [] }, "geography": "Iran national", "period": "2022", "unit": "current USD", "value": 899501668, "status": "OBSERVED", "canonical_url": "https://comtradeplus.un.org/", "source_url": "https://comtradeapi.un.org/public/v1/preview/C/A/HS?reporterCode=364&period=2022&cmdCode=AG2&flowCode=X%2CM&partnerCode=0&partner2Code=0&customsCode=C00&motCode=0&maxRecords=500&typeCode=C&freqCode=A&clCode=HS", "retrieved_at": "2026-08-29T02:13:57.670Z", "source_payload_sha256": "b7febd8cf834760117568eb66599f38f68ca36386b1479c4437712f79ad9c7ff", "caveat": "UN Comtrade preview aggregate; source flag is_reported=false. Use as an observed API value, not as reporter-verified customs evidence." }, { "evidence_id": "trade:un-comtrade|H6|364|2022|X|72|primaryValue", "kind": "OBSERVED", "source_dataset_id": "iran-trade-agri-energy", "source_id": "un-comtrade", "record_id": "un-comtrade|H6|364|2022|X|72|primaryValue", "indicator_code": "TRADE_VALUE_X_72", "indicator_name": "Merchandise exports — Iron and steel", "classification_system": "HS", "classification_version": "HS 2022 (UN Comtrade H6)", "source_codes": { "isic_rev4": [], "hs2022": [ "72" ], "cpc21": [] }, "geography": "Iran national", "period": "2022", "unit": "current USD", "value": 6484114927, "status": "OBSERVED", "canonical_url": "https://comtradeplus.un.org/", "source_url": "https://comtradeapi.un.org/public/v1/preview/C/A/HS?reporterCode=364&period=2022&cmdCode=AG2&flowCode=X%2CM&partnerCode=0&partner2Code=0&customsCode=C00&motCode=0&maxRecords=500&typeCode=C&freqCode=A&clCode=HS", "retrieved_at": "2026-08-29T02:13:57.670Z", "source_payload_sha256": "b7febd8cf834760117568eb66599f38f68ca36386b1479c4437712f79ad9c7ff", "caveat": "UN Comtrade preview aggregate; source flag is_reported=false. Use as an observed API value, not as reporter-verified customs evidence." }, { "evidence_id": "trade:un-comtrade|H6|364|2022|X|74|primaryValue", "kind": "OBSERVED", "source_dataset_id": "iran-trade-agri-energy", "source_id": "un-comtrade", "record_id": "un-comtrade|H6|364|2022|X|74|primaryValue", "indicator_code": "TRADE_VALUE_X_74", "indicator_name": "Merchandise exports — Copper and articles thereof", "classification_system": "HS", "classification_version": "HS 2022 (UN Comtrade H6)", "source_codes": { "isic_rev4": [], "hs2022": [ "74" ], "cpc21": [] }, "geography": "Iran national", "period": "2022", "unit": "current USD", "value": 1803778629, "status": "OBSERVED", "canonical_url": "https://comtradeplus.un.org/", "source_url": "https://comtradeapi.un.org/public/v1/preview/C/A/HS?reporterCode=364&period=2022&cmdCode=AG2&flowCode=X%2CM&partnerCode=0&partner2Code=0&customsCode=C00&motCode=0&maxRecords=500&typeCode=C&freqCode=A&clCode=HS", "retrieved_at": "2026-08-29T02:13:57.670Z", "source_payload_sha256": "b7febd8cf834760117568eb66599f38f68ca36386b1479c4437712f79ad9c7ff", "caveat": "UN Comtrade preview aggregate; source flag is_reported=false. Use as an observed API value, not as reporter-verified customs evidence." }, { "evidence_id": "trade:un-comtrade|H6|364|2022|X|76|primaryValue", "kind": "OBSERVED", "source_dataset_id": "iran-trade-agri-energy", "source_id": "un-comtrade", "record_id": "un-comtrade|H6|364|2022|X|76|primaryValue", "indicator_code": "TRADE_VALUE_X_76", "indicator_name": "Merchandise exports — Aluminium and articles thereof", "classification_system": "HS", "classification_version": "HS 2022 (UN Comtrade H6)", "source_codes": { "isic_rev4": [], "hs2022": [ "76" ], "cpc21": [] }, "geography": "Iran national", "period": "2022", "unit": "current USD", "value": 1210264460, "status": "OBSERVED", "canonical_url": "https://comtradeplus.un.org/", "source_url": "https://comtradeapi.un.org/public/v1/preview/C/A/HS?reporterCode=364&period=2022&cmdCode=AG2&flowCode=X%2CM&partnerCode=0&partner2Code=0&customsCode=C00&motCode=0&maxRecords=500&typeCode=C&freqCode=A&clCode=HS", "retrieved_at": "2026-08-29T02:13:57.670Z", "source_payload_sha256": "b7febd8cf834760117568eb66599f38f68ca36386b1479c4437712f79ad9c7ff", "caveat": "UN Comtrade preview aggregate; source flag is_reported=false. Use as an observed API value, not as reporter-verified customs evidence." } ], "rationale": [ { "kind": "INFERENCE", "statement": "Observed mining/manufacturing value added and mineral/metal exports justify mapping specific mineral-to-product chains; no margin, reserve or capacity conclusion follows from these aggregates.", "supported_by": [ "national-accounts:UNSD-SNA-2.5|row-7|IRN|2023|B|1000", "national-accounts:UNSD-SNA-2.5|row-8|IRN|2023|C|1000", "trade:un-comtrade|H6|364|2022|X|26|primaryValue", "trade:un-comtrade|H6|364|2022|X|72|primaryValue", "trade:un-comtrade|H6|364|2022|X|74|primaryValue", "trade:un-comtrade|H6|364|2022|X|76|primaryValue" ] } ], "data_gaps": [ { "status": "DATA_GAP", "gap": "mine-level reserves and grades" }, { "status": "DATA_GAP", "gap": "plant capacity/utilization and recovery" }, { "status": "DATA_GAP", "gap": "energy and water constraints" }, { "status": "DATA_GAP", "gap": "HS6/product destination and prices" }, { "status": "DATA_GAP", "gap": "environmental liabilities" }, { "status": "DATA_GAP", "gap": "sanctions, logistics and technology-access risk" } ], "required_feasibility_inputs": [ "JORC-equivalent technical evidence where relevant", "metallurgical testwork", "site utilities", "product-market study", "capex/opex and ramp-up", "closure and environmental plan" ], "financing_options": [ { "kind": "JUDGMENT", "option": "sponsor equity and secured project debt", "condition": "Only after project-specific demand, tariff, legal, environmental, technical, cash-flow and risk due diligence." }, { "kind": "JUDGMENT", "option": "offtake-linked financing after counterparty diligence", "condition": "Only after project-specific demand, tariff, legal, environmental, technical, cash-flow and risk due diligence." }, { "kind": "JUDGMENT", "option": "capital-market project vehicle where disclosure and cash-flow separation are feasible", "condition": "Only after project-specific demand, tariff, legal, environmental, technical, cash-flow and risk due diligence." } ], "territory": { "scope": "Iran national", "evidence_status": "NO_SUBNATIONAL_EVIDENCE_IN_FROZEN_INPUTS" }, "maturity": "CONCEPT_ONLY_PREFEASIBILITY_REQUIRED", "bankability_status": "NOT_ASSESSED", "ranking": { "status": "BLOCKED", "score": null, "reason": "Candidate evidence has non-comparable periods, units, classifications and coverage; no common observed-input scoring basis exists." } }, { "concept_id": "IRN-VC-CHEM-DOWNSTREAM-05", "title_fa": "توسعه محصولات پایین‌دستی شیمیایی، کود و پلیمر", "title_en": "Downstream chemicals, fertilizer and polymer products", "classification": { "isic_rev4": [ "B", "C" ], "hs2022": [ "27", "29", "31", "39" ], "cpc21": [] }, "value_chain": { "nodes": [ { "kind": "JUDGMENT", "label": "feedstock supply" }, { "kind": "JUDGMENT", "label": "basic chemicals" }, { "kind": "JUDGMENT", "label": "intermediates" }, { "kind": "JUDGMENT", "label": "formulation/conversion" }, { "kind": "JUDGMENT", "label": "industrial and export markets" } ], "flows": [ { "kind": "JUDGMENT", "flow": "hydrocarbon and chemical feedstocks, utilities, intermediate products, packaging and trade information" } ], "suspected_missing_links": [ { "kind": "INFERENCE", "status": "HYPOTHESIS_NOT_VERIFIED", "hypothesis": "HS2 export values do not demonstrate domestic feedstock allocation, product margins or competitive downstream niches" } ] }, "evidence_refs": [ { "evidence_id": "trade:un-comtrade|H6|364|2022|X|27|primaryValue", "kind": "OBSERVED", "source_dataset_id": "iran-trade-agri-energy", "source_id": "un-comtrade", "record_id": "un-comtrade|H6|364|2022|X|27|primaryValue", "indicator_code": "TRADE_VALUE_X_27", "indicator_name": "Merchandise exports — Mineral fuels, mineral oils and products of their distillation; bituminous substances; mineral waxes", "classification_system": "HS", "classification_version": "HS 2022 (UN Comtrade H6)", "source_codes": { "isic_rev4": [], "hs2022": [ "27" ], "cpc21": [] }, "geography": "Iran national", "period": "2022", "unit": "current USD", "value": 45600446190.8, "status": "OBSERVED", "canonical_url": "https://comtradeplus.un.org/", "source_url": "https://comtradeapi.un.org/public/v1/preview/C/A/HS?reporterCode=364&period=2022&cmdCode=AG2&flowCode=X%2CM&partnerCode=0&partner2Code=0&customsCode=C00&motCode=0&maxRecords=500&typeCode=C&freqCode=A&clCode=HS", "retrieved_at": "2026-08-29T02:13:57.670Z", "source_payload_sha256": "b7febd8cf834760117568eb66599f38f68ca36386b1479c4437712f79ad9c7ff", "caveat": "UN Comtrade preview aggregate; source flag is_reported=false. Use as an observed API value, not as reporter-verified customs evidence." }, { "evidence_id": "trade:un-comtrade|H6|364|2022|X|29|primaryValue", "kind": "OBSERVED", "source_dataset_id": "iran-trade-agri-energy", "source_id": "un-comtrade", "record_id": "un-comtrade|H6|364|2022|X|29|primaryValue", "indicator_code": "TRADE_VALUE_X_29", "indicator_name": "Merchandise exports — Organic chemicals", "classification_system": "HS", "classification_version": "HS 2022 (UN Comtrade H6)", "source_codes": { "isic_rev4": [], "hs2022": [ "29" ], "cpc21": [] }, "geography": "Iran national", "period": "2022", "unit": "current USD", "value": 4304399206, "status": "OBSERVED", "canonical_url": "https://comtradeplus.un.org/", "source_url": "https://comtradeapi.un.org/public/v1/preview/C/A/HS?reporterCode=364&period=2022&cmdCode=AG2&flowCode=X%2CM&partnerCode=0&partner2Code=0&customsCode=C00&motCode=0&maxRecords=500&typeCode=C&freqCode=A&clCode=HS", "retrieved_at": "2026-08-29T02:13:57.670Z", "source_payload_sha256": "b7febd8cf834760117568eb66599f38f68ca36386b1479c4437712f79ad9c7ff", "caveat": "UN Comtrade preview aggregate; source flag is_reported=false. Use as an observed API value, not as reporter-verified customs evidence." }, { "evidence_id": "trade:un-comtrade|H6|364|2022|X|31|primaryValue", "kind": "OBSERVED", "source_dataset_id": "iran-trade-agri-energy", "source_id": "un-comtrade", "record_id": "un-comtrade|H6|364|2022|X|31|primaryValue", "indicator_code": "TRADE_VALUE_X_31", "indicator_name": "Merchandise exports — Fertilizers", "classification_system": "HS", "classification_version": "HS 2022 (UN Comtrade H6)", "source_codes": { "isic_rev4": [], "hs2022": [ "31" ], "cpc21": [] }, "geography": "Iran national", "period": "2022", "unit": "current USD", "value": 2877872354, "status": "OBSERVED", "canonical_url": "https://comtradeplus.un.org/", "source_url": "https://comtradeapi.un.org/public/v1/preview/C/A/HS?reporterCode=364&period=2022&cmdCode=AG2&flowCode=X%2CM&partnerCode=0&partner2Code=0&customsCode=C00&motCode=0&maxRecords=500&typeCode=C&freqCode=A&clCode=HS", "retrieved_at": "2026-08-29T02:13:57.670Z", "source_payload_sha256": "b7febd8cf834760117568eb66599f38f68ca36386b1479c4437712f79ad9c7ff", "caveat": "UN Comtrade preview aggregate; source flag is_reported=false. Use as an observed API value, not as reporter-verified customs evidence." }, { "evidence_id": "trade:un-comtrade|H6|364|2022|X|39|primaryValue", "kind": "OBSERVED", "source_dataset_id": "iran-trade-agri-energy", "source_id": "un-comtrade", "record_id": "un-comtrade|H6|364|2022|X|39|primaryValue", "indicator_code": "TRADE_VALUE_X_39", "indicator_name": "Merchandise exports — Plastics and articles thereof", "classification_system": "HS", "classification_version": "HS 2022 (UN Comtrade H6)", "source_codes": { "isic_rev4": [], "hs2022": [ "39" ], "cpc21": [] }, "geography": "Iran national", "period": "2022", "unit": "current USD", "value": 5806333667, "status": "OBSERVED", "canonical_url": "https://comtradeplus.un.org/", "source_url": "https://comtradeapi.un.org/public/v1/preview/C/A/HS?reporterCode=364&period=2022&cmdCode=AG2&flowCode=X%2CM&partnerCode=0&partner2Code=0&customsCode=C00&motCode=0&maxRecords=500&typeCode=C&freqCode=A&clCode=HS", "retrieved_at": "2026-08-29T02:13:57.670Z", "source_payload_sha256": "b7febd8cf834760117568eb66599f38f68ca36386b1479c4437712f79ad9c7ff", "caveat": "UN Comtrade preview aggregate; source flag is_reported=false. Use as an observed API value, not as reporter-verified customs evidence." }, { "evidence_id": "national-accounts:UNSD-SNA-2.5|row-8|IRN|2023|C|1000", "kind": "OBSERVED", "source_dataset_id": "iran-unsd-national-accounts-isic-rev4", "source_id": "unsd-undata-sna-205-iran", "record_id": "UNSD-SNA-2.5|row-8|IRN|2023|C|1000", "indicator_code": "ISIC4-C-VA-CONSTANT", "indicator_name": "Manufacturing value added at constant prices", "classification_system": "ISIC", "classification_version": "Rev.4", "source_codes": { "isic_rev4": [ "C" ], "hs2022": [], "cpc21": [] }, "geography": "Iran national", "period": "2023", "unit": "Iranian rial; constant prices; base year 2016", "value": 2446303529075070, "status": "UNSD_OFFICIAL_COUNTRY_DATA", "canonical_url": "https://data.un.org/Data.aspx?d=SNA&f=group_code%3A205%3Bcountry_code%3A364&q=iran", "source_url": "https://data.un.org/Handlers/DownloadHandler.ashx?DataFilter=group_code%3A205%3Bcountry_code%3A364&DataMartId=SNA&Format=csv", "retrieved_at": "2026-08-29", "source_payload_sha256": "3a71f3f790c7c874e1ea42ecbc5519283bc4f8443f6f53076360a2061696ae6e", "caveat": "Iranian rial; fiscal year beginning 21 March; source-specific UNSD series not merged with WDI." } ], "rationale": [ { "kind": "INFERENCE", "statement": "Observed HS27/29/31/39 export flows and manufacturing value added support product-level opportunity screening, but not a general claim that further downstream processing is automatically economic.", "supported_by": [ "trade:un-comtrade|H6|364|2022|X|27|primaryValue", "trade:un-comtrade|H6|364|2022|X|29|primaryValue", "trade:un-comtrade|H6|364|2022|X|31|primaryValue", "trade:un-comtrade|H6|364|2022|X|39|primaryValue", "national-accounts:UNSD-SNA-2.5|row-8|IRN|2023|C|1000" ] } ], "data_gaps": [ { "status": "DATA_GAP", "gap": "feedstock contracts and opportunity cost" }, { "status": "DATA_GAP", "gap": "HS6/product margins and destinations" }, { "status": "DATA_GAP", "gap": "existing capacity/utilization" }, { "status": "DATA_GAP", "gap": "technology/licensing access" }, { "status": "DATA_GAP", "gap": "emissions and water" }, { "status": "DATA_GAP", "gap": "currency, sanctions and logistics exposure" } ], "required_feasibility_inputs": [ "product screen and market test", "material and energy balance", "feedstock and offtake terms", "technology licensor review", "capex/opex and working capital", "process safety and environmental assessment" ], "financing_options": [ { "kind": "JUDGMENT", "option": "industrial sponsor equity", "condition": "Only after project-specific demand, tariff, legal, environmental, technical, cash-flow and risk due diligence." }, { "kind": "JUDGMENT", "option": "project debt with feedstock/offtake contracts", "condition": "Only after project-specific demand, tariff, legal, environmental, technical, cash-flow and risk due diligence." }, { "kind": "JUDGMENT", "option": "joint venture only after legal, sanctions and technology-transfer due diligence", "condition": "Only after project-specific demand, tariff, legal, environmental, technical, cash-flow and risk due diligence." } ], "territory": { "scope": "Iran national", "evidence_status": "NO_SUBNATIONAL_EVIDENCE_IN_FROZEN_INPUTS" }, "maturity": "CONCEPT_ONLY_PREFEASIBILITY_REQUIRED", "bankability_status": "NOT_ASSESSED", "ranking": { "status": "BLOCKED", "score": null, "reason": "Candidate evidence has non-comparable periods, units, classifications and coverage; no common observed-input scoring basis exists." } }, { "concept_id": "IRN-VC-ENE-SOLAR-WIND-INTEGRATION-06", "title_fa": "توسعه خورشیدی و بادی همراه با اتصال و انعطاف شبکه", "title_en": "Solar and wind expansion with grid integration and flexibility", "classification": { "isic_rev4": [ "D", "F", "M" ], "hs2022": [], "cpc21": [] }, "value_chain": { "nodes": [ { "kind": "JUDGMENT", "label": "resource/site development" }, { "kind": "JUDGMENT", "label": "equipment and EPC" }, { "kind": "JUDGMENT", "label": "grid connection" }, { "kind": "JUDGMENT", "label": "generation and dispatch" }, { "kind": "JUDGMENT", "label": "operations and maintenance" } ], "flows": [ { "kind": "JUDGMENT", "flow": "electricity, balancing services, equipment, finance, permits and operational data" } ], "suspected_missing_links": [ { "kind": "INFERENCE", "status": "HYPOTHESIS_NOT_VERIFIED", "hypothesis": "national capacity/generation observations do not identify bankable sites, curtailment, network constraints or tariff adequacy" } ] }, "evidence_refs": [ { "evidence_id": "energy:irena-stat|364|2025|IRENA:CAPACITY:2:GRID_0", "kind": "OBSERVED", "source_dataset_id": "iran-trade-agri-energy", "source_id": "irena-stat", "record_id": "irena-stat|364|2025|IRENA:CAPACITY:2:GRID_0", "indicator_code": "IRENA:CAPACITY:2:GRID_0", "indicator_name": "Electricity capacity — Solar photovoltaic — OnGrid", "classification_system": "IRENASTAT", "classification_version": "Country_ELECCAP_2026_H1_v-PX 1", "source_codes": { "isic_rev4": [], "hs2022": [], "cpc21": [] }, "geography": "Iran national", "period": "2025", "unit": "MW", "value": 1781.26, "status": "OBSERVED", "canonical_url": "https://pxweb.irena.org/pxweb/en/IRENASTAT/", "source_url": "https://pxweb.irena.org/api/v1/en/IRENASTAT/Power%20Capacity%20and%20Generation/Country_ELECCAP_2026_H1_v-PX%201.px", "retrieved_at": "2026-08-29T02:13:57.670Z", "source_payload_sha256": "4d8ca68f325cae6488a53ea617da82ea020d9d3ed661d4b80b7fdd4548c88b21", "caveat": "Capacity and generation are distinct measures and are not converted or combined." }, { "evidence_id": "energy:irena-stat|364|2025|IRENA:CAPACITY:4:GRID_0", "kind": "OBSERVED", "source_dataset_id": "iran-trade-agri-energy", "source_id": "irena-stat", "record_id": "irena-stat|364|2025|IRENA:CAPACITY:4:GRID_0", "indicator_code": "IRENA:CAPACITY:4:GRID_0", "indicator_name": "Electricity capacity — Wind energy — OnGrid", "classification_system": "IRENASTAT", "classification_version": "Country_ELECCAP_2026_H1_v-PX 1", "source_codes": { "isic_rev4": [], "hs2022": [], "cpc21": [] }, "geography": "Iran national", "period": "2025", "unit": "MW", "value": 378.3, "status": "OBSERVED", "canonical_url": "https://pxweb.irena.org/pxweb/en/IRENASTAT/", "source_url": "https://pxweb.irena.org/api/v1/en/IRENASTAT/Power%20Capacity%20and%20Generation/Country_ELECCAP_2026_H1_v-PX%201.px", "retrieved_at": "2026-08-29T02:13:57.670Z", "source_payload_sha256": "4d8ca68f325cae6488a53ea617da82ea020d9d3ed661d4b80b7fdd4548c88b21", "caveat": "Capacity and generation are distinct measures and are not converted or combined." }, { "evidence_id": "energy:irena-stat|364|2023|IRENA:GENERATION:0:GRID_2", "kind": "OBSERVED", "source_dataset_id": "iran-trade-agri-energy", "source_id": "irena-stat", "record_id": "irena-stat|364|2023|IRENA:GENERATION:0:GRID_2", "indicator_code": "IRENA:GENERATION:0:GRID_2", "indicator_name": "Electricity generation — Total renewable — All", "classification_system": "IRENASTAT", "classification_version": "Country_ELECGEN_2025_H2_v-PX 1", "source_codes": { "isic_rev4": [], "hs2022": [], "cpc21": [] }, "geography": "Iran national", "period": "2023", "unit": "GWh", "value": 14188.98, "status": "OBSERVED", "canonical_url": "https://pxweb.irena.org/pxweb/en/IRENASTAT/", "source_url": "https://pxweb.irena.org/api/v1/en/IRENASTAT/Power%20Capacity%20and%20Generation/Country_ELECGEN_2025_H2_v-PX%201.px", "retrieved_at": "2026-08-29T02:13:57.670Z", "source_payload_sha256": "6a57634f3b2bf3f1f836f6319348cc9ed3745302fa2619c10c474ce408629711", "caveat": "Capacity and generation are distinct measures and are not converted or combined." }, { "evidence_id": "national-accounts:UNSD-SNA-2.5|row-9|IRN|2023|D|1000", "kind": "OBSERVED", "source_dataset_id": "iran-unsd-national-accounts-isic-rev4", "source_id": "unsd-undata-sna-205-iran", "record_id": "UNSD-SNA-2.5|row-9|IRN|2023|D|1000", "indicator_code": "ISIC4-D-VA-CONSTANT", "indicator_name": "Electricity, gas, steam and air conditioning supply value added at constant prices", "classification_system": "ISIC", "classification_version": "Rev.4", "source_codes": { "isic_rev4": [ "D" ], "hs2022": [], "cpc21": [] }, "geography": "Iran national", "period": "2023", "unit": "Iranian rial; constant prices; base year 2016", "value": 580647133519460, "status": "UNSD_OFFICIAL_COUNTRY_DATA", "canonical_url": "https://data.un.org/Data.aspx?d=SNA&f=group_code%3A205%3Bcountry_code%3A364&q=iran", "source_url": "https://data.un.org/Handlers/DownloadHandler.ashx?DataFilter=group_code%3A205%3Bcountry_code%3A364&DataMartId=SNA&Format=csv", "retrieved_at": "2026-08-29", "source_payload_sha256": "3a71f3f790c7c874e1ea42ecbc5519283bc4f8443f6f53076360a2061696ae6e", "caveat": "Iranian rial; fiscal year beginning 21 March; source-specific UNSD series not merged with WDI." } ], "rationale": [ { "kind": "INFERENCE", "statement": "Observed solar/wind capacity and renewable generation warrant site and grid pre-feasibility studies; the records do not support a capacity target or revenue forecast.", "supported_by": [ "energy:irena-stat|364|2025|IRENA:CAPACITY:2:GRID_0", "energy:irena-stat|364|2025|IRENA:CAPACITY:4:GRID_0", "energy:irena-stat|364|2023|IRENA:GENERATION:0:GRID_2", "national-accounts:UNSD-SNA-2.5|row-9|IRN|2023|D|1000" ] } ], "data_gaps": [ { "status": "DATA_GAP", "gap": "bankable resource measurements" }, { "status": "DATA_GAP", "gap": "substation hosting capacity" }, { "status": "DATA_GAP", "gap": "curtailment and hourly demand" }, { "status": "DATA_GAP", "gap": "tariff and payment security" }, { "status": "DATA_GAP", "gap": "land and permits" }, { "status": "DATA_GAP", "gap": "equipment supply and currency risk" } ], "required_feasibility_inputs": [ "site resource campaign", "grid interconnection study", "energy-yield assessment", "PPA and credit support", "E&S and land diligence", "capex, degradation and O&M model" ], "financing_options": [ { "kind": "JUDGMENT", "option": "IPP equity and limited-recourse debt", "condition": "Only after project-specific demand, tariff, legal, environmental, technical, cash-flow and risk due diligence." }, { "kind": "JUDGMENT", "option": "corporate PPA finance after enforceability review", "condition": "Only after project-specific demand, tariff, legal, environmental, technical, cash-flow and risk due diligence." }, { "kind": "JUDGMENT", "option": "blended or guarantee-backed finance where eligibility and additionality are established", "condition": "Only after project-specific demand, tariff, legal, environmental, technical, cash-flow and risk due diligence." } ], "territory": { "scope": "Iran national", "evidence_status": "NO_SUBNATIONAL_EVIDENCE_IN_FROZEN_INPUTS" }, "maturity": "CONCEPT_ONLY_PREFEASIBILITY_REQUIRED", "bankability_status": "NOT_ASSESSED", "ranking": { "status": "BLOCKED", "score": null, "reason": "Candidate evidence has non-comparable periods, units, classifications and coverage; no common observed-input scoring basis exists." } }, { "concept_id": "IRN-VC-IND-MACHINERY-SERVICES-07", "title_fa": "ساخت، بازسازی و خدمات چرخه‌عمر ماشین‌آلات صنعتی", "title_en": "Industrial machinery production, remanufacturing and lifecycle services", "classification": { "isic_rev4": [ "C", "M" ], "hs2022": [ "84", "85" ], "cpc21": [] }, "value_chain": { "nodes": [ { "kind": "JUDGMENT", "label": "component supply" }, { "kind": "JUDGMENT", "label": "assembly and fabrication" }, { "kind": "JUDGMENT", "label": "testing/certification" }, { "kind": "JUDGMENT", "label": "installation" }, { "kind": "JUDGMENT", "label": "maintenance and remanufacturing" } ], "flows": [ { "kind": "JUDGMENT", "flow": "machinery, spares, engineering services, skills, diagnostics and lifecycle data" } ], "suspected_missing_links": [ { "kind": "INFERENCE", "status": "HYPOTHESIS_NOT_VERIFIED", "hypothesis": "HS2 import values cannot distinguish critical components from finished equipment or establish efficient localization scope" } ] }, "evidence_refs": [ { "evidence_id": "trade:un-comtrade|H6|364|2022|M|84|primaryValue", "kind": "OBSERVED", "source_dataset_id": "iran-trade-agri-energy", "source_id": "un-comtrade", "record_id": "un-comtrade|H6|364|2022|M|84|primaryValue", "indicator_code": "TRADE_VALUE_M_84", "indicator_name": "Merchandise imports — Machinery and mechanical appliances, boilers, nuclear reactors; parts thereof", "classification_system": "HS", "classification_version": "HS 2022 (UN Comtrade H6)", "source_codes": { "isic_rev4": [], "hs2022": [ "84" ], "cpc21": [] }, "geography": "Iran national", "period": "2022", "unit": "current USD", "value": 7495391373, "status": "OBSERVED", "canonical_url": "https://comtradeplus.un.org/", "source_url": "https://comtradeapi.un.org/public/v1/preview/C/A/HS?reporterCode=364&period=2022&cmdCode=AG2&flowCode=X%2CM&partnerCode=0&partner2Code=0&customsCode=C00&motCode=0&maxRecords=500&typeCode=C&freqCode=A&clCode=HS", "retrieved_at": "2026-08-29T02:13:57.670Z", "source_payload_sha256": "b7febd8cf834760117568eb66599f38f68ca36386b1479c4437712f79ad9c7ff", "caveat": "UN Comtrade preview aggregate; source flag is_reported=false. Use as an observed API value, not as reporter-verified customs evidence." }, { "evidence_id": "trade:un-comtrade|H6|364|2022|M|85|primaryValue", "kind": "OBSERVED", "source_dataset_id": "iran-trade-agri-energy", "source_id": "un-comtrade", "record_id": "un-comtrade|H6|364|2022|M|85|primaryValue", "indicator_code": "TRADE_VALUE_M_85", "indicator_name": "Merchandise imports — Electrical machinery and equipment and parts thereof; sound recorders and reproducers; television image and sound recorders and reproducers, parts and accessories of such articles", "classification_system": "HS", "classification_version": "HS 2022 (UN Comtrade H6)", "source_codes": { "isic_rev4": [], "hs2022": [ "85" ], "cpc21": [] }, "geography": "Iran national", "period": "2022", "unit": "current USD", "value": 7142663225, "status": "OBSERVED", "canonical_url": "https://comtradeplus.un.org/", "source_url": "https://comtradeapi.un.org/public/v1/preview/C/A/HS?reporterCode=364&period=2022&cmdCode=AG2&flowCode=X%2CM&partnerCode=0&partner2Code=0&customsCode=C00&motCode=0&maxRecords=500&typeCode=C&freqCode=A&clCode=HS", "retrieved_at": "2026-08-29T02:13:57.670Z", "source_payload_sha256": "b7febd8cf834760117568eb66599f38f68ca36386b1479c4437712f79ad9c7ff", "caveat": "UN Comtrade preview aggregate; source flag is_reported=false. Use as an observed API value, not as reporter-verified customs evidence." }, { "evidence_id": "national-accounts:UNSD-SNA-2.5|row-8|IRN|2023|C|1000", "kind": "OBSERVED", "source_dataset_id": "iran-unsd-national-accounts-isic-rev4", "source_id": "unsd-undata-sna-205-iran", "record_id": "UNSD-SNA-2.5|row-8|IRN|2023|C|1000", "indicator_code": "ISIC4-C-VA-CONSTANT", "indicator_name": "Manufacturing value added at constant prices", "classification_system": "ISIC", "classification_version": "Rev.4", "source_codes": { "isic_rev4": [ "C" ], "hs2022": [], "cpc21": [] }, "geography": "Iran national", "period": "2023", "unit": "Iranian rial; constant prices; base year 2016", "value": 2446303529075070, "status": "UNSD_OFFICIAL_COUNTRY_DATA", "canonical_url": "https://data.un.org/Data.aspx?d=SNA&f=group_code%3A205%3Bcountry_code%3A364&q=iran", "source_url": "https://data.un.org/Handlers/DownloadHandler.ashx?DataFilter=group_code%3A205%3Bcountry_code%3A364&DataMartId=SNA&Format=csv", "retrieved_at": "2026-08-29", "source_payload_sha256": "3a71f3f790c7c874e1ea42ecbc5519283bc4f8443f6f53076360a2061696ae6e", "caveat": "Iranian rial; fiscal year beginning 21 March; source-specific UNSD series not merged with WDI." }, { "evidence_id": "labor:DF_EMP_TEMP_SEX_ECO_NB-IRN-A-EMP_TEMP_NB-SEX_T-ECO_ISIC4_C-2024", "kind": "OBSERVED", "source_dataset_id": "iran-wpp-2024-ilostat-curated-v1", "source_id": "ilo-ilostat-sdmx-df_emp_temp_sex_eco_nb", "record_id": "DF_EMP_TEMP_SEX_ECO_NB-IRN-A-EMP_TEMP_NB-SEX_T-ECO_ISIC4_C-2024", "indicator_code": "EMP_TEMP_NB:ECO_ISIC4_C", "indicator_name": "Employment by economic activity, ISIC Rev.4 C", "classification_system": "ISIC", "classification_version": "Rev.4", "source_codes": { "isic_rev4": [ "C" ], "hs2022": [], "cpc21": [] }, "geography": "Iran national", "period": "2024", "unit": "PS; multiplier 10^3", "value": 4335.783, "status": "OBSERVATION", "canonical_url": "https://ilostat.ilo.org/data/", "source_url": "https://sdmx.ilo.org/rest/data/ILO,DF_EMP_TEMP_SEX_ECO_NB,1.0/IRN.A...?startPeriod=2000&endPeriod=2026", "retrieved_at": "2026-08-29", "source_payload_sha256": "7527d0a7fd74bb9c22671ff7c5ba52f21b7cb566455c27a3604f122f0c75877b", "caveat": "LFS - Labour Force Survey; source unit code retained without reinterpretation." } ], "rationale": [ { "kind": "INFERENCE", "statement": "Observed machinery/electrical imports, manufacturing value added and sector employment justify a product-level make/repair/buy screen; localization is not presumed efficient.", "supported_by": [ "trade:un-comtrade|H6|364|2022|M|84|primaryValue", "trade:un-comtrade|H6|364|2022|M|85|primaryValue", "national-accounts:UNSD-SNA-2.5|row-8|IRN|2023|C|1000", "labor:DF_EMP_TEMP_SEX_ECO_NB-IRN-A-EMP_TEMP_NB-SEX_T-ECO_ISIC4_C-2024" ] } ], "data_gaps": [ { "status": "DATA_GAP", "gap": "HS6/component import mix" }, { "status": "DATA_GAP", "gap": "installed base and downtime" }, { "status": "DATA_GAP", "gap": "local supplier quality and certification" }, { "status": "DATA_GAP", "gap": "technology and IP access" }, { "status": "DATA_GAP", "gap": "total cost of ownership" }, { "status": "DATA_GAP", "gap": "skills by occupation" } ], "required_feasibility_inputs": [ "equipment installed-base census", "criticality and spend segmentation", "supplier capability audit", "certification plan", "customer willingness to contract lifecycle services", "capex/opex and break-even volumes" ], "financing_options": [ { "kind": "JUDGMENT", "option": "manufacturer/service-company equity", "condition": "Only after project-specific demand, tariff, legal, environmental, technical, cash-flow and risk due diligence." }, { "kind": "JUDGMENT", "option": "equipment leasing or vendor finance", "condition": "Only after project-specific demand, tariff, legal, environmental, technical, cash-flow and risk due diligence." }, { "kind": "JUDGMENT", "option": "receivables or performance-contract financing after verifiable service contracts", "condition": "Only after project-specific demand, tariff, legal, environmental, technical, cash-flow and risk due diligence." } ], "territory": { "scope": "Iran national", "evidence_status": "NO_SUBNATIONAL_EVIDENCE_IN_FROZEN_INPUTS" }, "maturity": "CONCEPT_ONLY_PREFEASIBILITY_REQUIRED", "bankability_status": "NOT_ASSESSED", "ranking": { "status": "BLOCKED", "score": null, "reason": "Candidate evidence has non-comparable periods, units, classifications and coverage; no common observed-input scoring basis exists." } }, { "concept_id": "IRN-VC-LOG-MULTIMODAL-DATA-08", "title_fa": "گره‌های لجستیکی چندوجهی و تبادل داده بار", "title_en": "Multimodal logistics nodes and freight-data exchange", "classification": { "isic_rev4": [ "H", "J" ], "hs2022": [], "cpc21": [] }, "value_chain": { "nodes": [ { "kind": "JUDGMENT", "label": "origin consolidation" }, { "kind": "JUDGMENT", "label": "terminal/warehouse" }, { "kind": "JUDGMENT", "label": "road/rail/port transfer" }, { "kind": "JUDGMENT", "label": "customs and documentation" }, { "kind": "JUDGMENT", "label": "destination distribution" } ], "flows": [ { "kind": "JUDGMENT", "flow": "cargo, vehicles, containers, payments, documents, capacity and tracking information" } ], "suspected_missing_links": [ { "kind": "INFERENCE", "status": "HYPOTHESIS_NOT_VERIFIED", "hypothesis": "national trade and sector aggregates do not locate bottlenecks, corridors, dwell time or commercially viable node locations" } ] }, "evidence_refs": [ { "evidence_id": "trade:un-comtrade|H6|364|2022|X|TOTAL|primaryValue", "kind": "OBSERVED", "source_dataset_id": "iran-trade-agri-energy", "source_id": "un-comtrade", "record_id": "un-comtrade|H6|364|2022|X|TOTAL|primaryValue", "indicator_code": "TRADE_VALUE_X_TOTAL", "indicator_name": "Merchandise exports — all HS commodities", "classification_system": "HS", "classification_version": "HS 2022 (UN Comtrade H6)", "source_codes": { "isic_rev4": [], "hs2022": [], "cpc21": [] }, "geography": "Iran national", "period": "2022", "unit": "current USD", "value": 80900398251.8, "status": "OBSERVED", "canonical_url": "https://comtradeplus.un.org/", "source_url": "https://comtradeapi.un.org/public/v1/preview/C/A/HS?reporterCode=364&period=2022&cmdCode=TOTAL&flowCode=X%2CM&partnerCode=0&partner2Code=0&customsCode=C00&motCode=0&maxRecords=500&typeCode=C&freqCode=A&clCode=HS", "retrieved_at": "2026-08-29T02:13:57.670Z", "source_payload_sha256": "744cf12c1a8c7dc528cd31e2e1bcfe123353fc29bde56558363bc2c04b5c9c46", "caveat": "UN Comtrade preview aggregate; source flag is_reported=false. Use as an observed API value, not as reporter-verified customs evidence." }, { "evidence_id": "trade:un-comtrade|H6|364|2022|M|TOTAL|primaryValue", "kind": "OBSERVED", "source_dataset_id": "iran-trade-agri-energy", "source_id": "un-comtrade", "record_id": "un-comtrade|H6|364|2022|M|TOTAL|primaryValue", "indicator_code": "TRADE_VALUE_M_TOTAL", "indicator_name": "Merchandise imports — all HS commodities", "classification_system": "HS", "classification_version": "HS 2022 (UN Comtrade H6)", "source_codes": { "isic_rev4": [], "hs2022": [], "cpc21": [] }, "geography": "Iran national", "period": "2022", "unit": "current USD", "value": 58726180300, "status": "OBSERVED", "canonical_url": "https://comtradeplus.un.org/", "source_url": "https://comtradeapi.un.org/public/v1/preview/C/A/HS?reporterCode=364&period=2022&cmdCode=TOTAL&flowCode=X%2CM&partnerCode=0&partner2Code=0&customsCode=C00&motCode=0&maxRecords=500&typeCode=C&freqCode=A&clCode=HS", "retrieved_at": "2026-08-29T02:13:57.670Z", "source_payload_sha256": "744cf12c1a8c7dc528cd31e2e1bcfe123353fc29bde56558363bc2c04b5c9c46", "caveat": "UN Comtrade preview aggregate; source flag is_reported=false. Use as an observed API value, not as reporter-verified customs evidence." }, { "evidence_id": "national-accounts:UNSD-SNA-2.5|row-14|IRN|2023|H|1000", "kind": "OBSERVED", "source_dataset_id": "iran-unsd-national-accounts-isic-rev4", "source_id": "unsd-undata-sna-205-iran", "record_id": "UNSD-SNA-2.5|row-14|IRN|2023|H|1000", "indicator_code": "ISIC4-H-VA-CONSTANT", "indicator_name": "Transportation and storage value added at constant prices", "classification_system": "ISIC", "classification_version": "Rev.4", "source_codes": { "isic_rev4": [ "H" ], "hs2022": [], "cpc21": [] }, "geography": "Iran national", "period": "2023", "unit": "Iranian rial; constant prices; base year 2016", "value": 1451593213973390, "status": "UNSD_OFFICIAL_COUNTRY_DATA", "canonical_url": "https://data.un.org/Data.aspx?d=SNA&f=group_code%3A205%3Bcountry_code%3A364&q=iran", "source_url": "https://data.un.org/Handlers/DownloadHandler.ashx?DataFilter=group_code%3A205%3Bcountry_code%3A364&DataMartId=SNA&Format=csv", "retrieved_at": "2026-08-29", "source_payload_sha256": "3a71f3f790c7c874e1ea42ecbc5519283bc4f8443f6f53076360a2061696ae6e", "caveat": "Iranian rial; fiscal year beginning 21 March; source-specific UNSD series not merged with WDI." }, { "evidence_id": "labor:DF_EMP_TEMP_SEX_ECO_NB-IRN-A-EMP_TEMP_NB-SEX_T-ECO_ISIC4_H-2024", "kind": "OBSERVED", "source_dataset_id": "iran-wpp-2024-ilostat-curated-v1", "source_id": "ilo-ilostat-sdmx-df_emp_temp_sex_eco_nb", "record_id": "DF_EMP_TEMP_SEX_ECO_NB-IRN-A-EMP_TEMP_NB-SEX_T-ECO_ISIC4_H-2024", "indicator_code": "EMP_TEMP_NB:ECO_ISIC4_H", "indicator_name": "Employment by economic activity, ISIC Rev.4 H", "classification_system": "ISIC", "classification_version": "Rev.4", "source_codes": { "isic_rev4": [ "H" ], "hs2022": [], "cpc21": [] }, "geography": "Iran national", "period": "2024", "unit": "PS; multiplier 10^3", "value": 2462.804, "status": "OBSERVATION", "canonical_url": "https://ilostat.ilo.org/data/", "source_url": "https://sdmx.ilo.org/rest/data/ILO,DF_EMP_TEMP_SEX_ECO_NB,1.0/IRN.A...?startPeriod=2000&endPeriod=2026", "retrieved_at": "2026-08-29", "source_payload_sha256": "7527d0a7fd74bb9c22671ff7c5ba52f21b7cb566455c27a3604f122f0c75877b", "caveat": "LFS - Labour Force Survey; source unit code retained without reinterpretation." } ], "rationale": [ { "kind": "INFERENCE", "statement": "Observed merchandise flows, transport value added and transport employment establish sector scale for corridor diagnostics, not the need or location for a specific terminal.", "supported_by": [ "trade:un-comtrade|H6|364|2022|X|TOTAL|primaryValue", "trade:un-comtrade|H6|364|2022|M|TOTAL|primaryValue", "national-accounts:UNSD-SNA-2.5|row-14|IRN|2023|H|1000", "labor:DF_EMP_TEMP_SEX_ECO_NB-IRN-A-EMP_TEMP_NB-SEX_T-ECO_ISIC4_H-2024" ] } ], "data_gaps": [ { "status": "DATA_GAP", "gap": "origin-destination freight matrix" }, { "status": "DATA_GAP", "gap": "mode split and corridor capacity" }, { "status": "DATA_GAP", "gap": "dwell time and logistics cost" }, { "status": "DATA_GAP", "gap": "terminal inventory/utilization" }, { "status": "DATA_GAP", "gap": "customs process times" }, { "status": "DATA_GAP", "gap": "site-specific land and access" } ], "required_feasibility_inputs": [ "freight O-D survey", "network and site model", "throughput and tariff study", "anchor-user commitments", "land/access and E&S diligence", "operating and governance model" ], "financing_options": [ { "kind": "JUDGMENT", "option": "terminal operator equity/debt", "condition": "Only after project-specific demand, tariff, legal, environmental, technical, cash-flow and risk due diligence." }, { "kind": "JUDGMENT", "option": "concession or PPP after demand, land and risk-allocation diligence", "condition": "Only after project-specific demand, tariff, legal, environmental, technical, cash-flow and risk due diligence." }, { "kind": "JUDGMENT", "option": "digital platform subscription or transaction model after user validation", "condition": "Only after project-specific demand, tariff, legal, environmental, technical, cash-flow and risk due diligence." } ], "territory": { "scope": "Iran national", "evidence_status": "NO_SUBNATIONAL_EVIDENCE_IN_FROZEN_INPUTS" }, "maturity": "CONCEPT_ONLY_PREFEASIBILITY_REQUIRED", "bankability_status": "NOT_ASSESSED", "ranking": { "status": "BLOCKED", "score": null, "reason": "Candidate evidence has non-comparable periods, units, classifications and coverage; no common observed-input scoring basis exists." } } ] }